Rayong FC 27%Draw 25%BG Pathum United 49%Expected goals 1.10 – 1.72
57%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.75
4/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBG Pathum United to win49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.31
Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BG Pathum United travel to face Rayong FC on Saturday 14 March in the Thai League 1, with Rayong Provincial Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Rayong FC are 12th, lower half, on 8 points after 8 matches; BG Pathum United are 7th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Rayong FC, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sukhothai FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
BG Pathum United, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Chonburi FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours BG Pathum United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Rayong FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayong FC 1.1 xG, BG Pathum United 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayong FC 27%, draw 25%, BG Pathum United 49%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayong FC 1–1 BG Pathum United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayong FC27%fair 3.76 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.10
BG Pathum United49%fair 2.05 · @2.05
2.82Expected goals
1.10Rayong FC xG
1.72BG Pathum United xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Rayong FC 1.1 – 1.7 BG Pathum United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win
49%
2.05
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.75
Draw no bet
BG Pathum United (draw no bet)
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Rayong FC +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
BG Pathum United to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Rayong FC – last 4
LLLD
7 Mar
@ Sukhothai FC
1–2
L
25 Feb
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Prachuap
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Chiangrai United
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
BG Pathum United – last 4
LWWL
8 Mar
vs Chonburi FC
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Sukhothai FC
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Buriram United
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayong FC and BG Pathum United.
What is the prediction for Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?
On our numbers Rayong FC have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and BG Pathum United 49%.
How many goals will there be in Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?
Our predicted score is Rayong FC 1–1 BG Pathum United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?
Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Rayong Provincial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Muangthong United1