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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rapperswil v Bellinzona: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland
Rapperswil 59%Draw 22%Bellinzona 19% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.93
81%
Betarazi pick

Rapperswil or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1

Value bet: Rapperswil to win @ 1.93 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRapperswil to win ✓59% · @1.93
Double chanceRapperswil or draw ✓81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.07

Rapperswil vs Bellinzona: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 20 February the Challenge League brings Rapperswil against Bellinzona. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rapperswil 2.0 xG, Bellinzona 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rapperswil 59%, draw 22%, Bellinzona 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rapperswil or draw (81%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Rapperswil to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rapperswil or draw (81%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rapperswil 1–0 Bellinzona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rapperswil59%fair 1.70 · @1.93
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.30
Bellinzona19%fair 5.19 · @3.30
2.91Expected goals
1.97Rapperswil xG
0.93Bellinzona xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Rapperswil 2.0 – 0.9 Bellinzona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRapperswil to win ✓59%1.701.93 ▲
Double chanceRapperswil or draw ✓81%1.241.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.70
Draw no betRapperswil (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapRapperswil -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.13
First team to scoreRapperswil to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultRapperswil ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rapperswil / FT Rapperswil ✓39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.07–

Recent results

Rapperswil – last 1

W
13 Feb@ FC WIL 19002–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Bellinzona – last 1

L
13 Febvs FC Vaduz0–2L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rapperswil and Bellinzona.

Rapperswil vs Bellinzona head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rapperswil vs Bellinzona?

Our pick is Rapperswil or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Rapperswil vs Bellinzona?

On our numbers Rapperswil have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bellinzona 19%.

How many goals will there be in Rapperswil vs Bellinzona?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rapperswil vs Bellinzona?

Our predicted score is Rapperswil 1–0 Bellinzona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Rapperswil vs Bellinzona?

Rapperswil vs Bellinzona (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.