Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Aarau to win ✗57% · @1.60
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓79% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Aarau travel to face Stade Nyonnais on Friday 20 February in the Challenge League, with Colovray Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Stade Nyonnais are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; FC Aarau are 6th (lower half) with 15.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stade Nyonnais 1.2 xG, FC Aarau 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Nyonnais 21%, draw 22%, FC Aarau 57%.
Lower-risk option: FC Aarau or draw (79%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.68.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Nyonnais 1–1 FC Aarau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stade Nyonnais21%fair 4.66 · @4.33
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.80
FC Aarau57%fair 1.76 · @1.60
3.05Expected goals
1.16Stade Nyonnais xG
1.89FC Aarau xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Stade Nyonnais 1.2 – 1.9 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Aarau to win✗
57%
1.76
1.60
Double chance
FC Aarau or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.68
Draw no bet
FC Aarau (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Stade Nyonnais +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
First team to score
FC Aarau to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
FC Aarau ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Stade Nyonnais – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Yverdon Sport
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FC Aarau – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Nyonnais and FC Aarau.
What is the prediction for Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?
On our numbers Stade Nyonnais have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Aarau 57%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?
Our predicted score is Stade Nyonnais 1–1 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?
Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Colovray Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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