FC Aarau 34%Draw 22%FC Vaduz 43%Expected goals 1.47 – 1.90
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: FC Vaduz to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Vaduz to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.95
FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Vaduz travel to face FC Aarau on Friday 13 March in the Challenge League – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT.
Current form
FC Aarau, last 4: WWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Étoile Carouge, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
FC Vaduz, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rapperswil, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Vaduz, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for FC Aarau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Aarau 1.5 xG, FC Vaduz 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Aarau 34%, draw 22%, FC Vaduz 43%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: FC Vaduz to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Aarau 1–1 FC Vaduz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Aarau34%fair 2.90 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.55
FC Vaduz43%fair 2.30 · @2.62
3.37Expected goals
1.47FC Aarau xG
1.90FC Vaduz xG
68%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: FC Aarau 1.5 – 1.9 FC Vaduz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Vaduz to win✗
43%
2.30
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.48
1.45
Draw no bet
FC Vaduz (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
FC Aarau +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
FC Vaduz to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
FC Vaduz ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Vaduz / FT FC Vaduz✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
FC Aarau – last 4
WWDL
6 Mar
@ Étoile Carouge
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs Rapperswil
5–3
W
20 Feb
@ Stade Nyonnais
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2–4
L
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
FC Vaduz – last 4
DWWW
6 Mar
@ Rapperswil
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Stade Nyonnais
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Bellinzona
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Aarau and FC Vaduz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz?
On our numbers FC Aarau have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Vaduz 43%.
How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz?
Our predicted score is FC Aarau 1–1 FC Vaduz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz?
FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bellinzona0