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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bellinzona v Rapperswil: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland · Stadio Comunale Bellinzona
2–4
FT
Bellinzona 32%Draw 24%Rapperswil 44% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.73
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Rapperswil to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRapperswil to win ✓44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Bellinzona vs Rapperswil: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 3 May the Challenge League brings Bellinzona against Rapperswil at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.

Current form

Bellinzona, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Vaduz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Rapperswil, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Étoile Carouge, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rapperswil, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Bellinzona.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Rapperswil 2–1 Bellinzona.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bellinzona 1.3 xG, Rapperswil 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bellinzona 32%, draw 24%, Rapperswil 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Rapperswil to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bellinzona 1–1 Rapperswil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bellinzona32%fair 3.10 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.35
Rapperswil44%fair 2.27 · @2.62
2.99Expected goals
1.26Bellinzona xG
1.73Rapperswil xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Bellinzona 1.3 – 1.7 Rapperswil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRapperswil to win ✓44%2.272.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.53
Draw no betRapperswil (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapBellinzona +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.531.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
First team to scoreRapperswil to score first55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rapperswil / FT Rapperswil ✓30%3.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Bellinzona – last 6

LLWLLL
7 Apr@ FC Vaduz2–3L
3 Apr@ Yverdon Sport2–5L
20 Marvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2–1W
13 Marvs Étoile Carouge0–3L
27 Febvs Yverdon Sport0–4L
20 Feb@ Rapperswil1–2L
1.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Rapperswil – last 6

WLWLLD
24 Aprvs Étoile Carouge2–1W
19 Apr@ FC Vaduz1–2L
7 Apr@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2–1W
20 Mar@ Stade Nyonnais1–2L
15 Mar@ Neuchatel Xamax FC2–3L
6 Marvs FC Vaduz0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Rapperswil v Bellinzona2–1
Bellinzona vs Rapperswil head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bellinzona vs Rapperswil?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Bellinzona vs Rapperswil?

On our numbers Bellinzona have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rapperswil 44%.

How many goals will there be in Bellinzona vs Rapperswil?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bellinzona vs Rapperswil?

Our predicted score is Bellinzona 1–1 Rapperswil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Bellinzona vs Rapperswil?

Bellinzona vs Rapperswil (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.