Yverdon Sport 59%Draw 22%Étoile Carouge 19%Expected goals 2.01 – 0.96
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultYverdon Sport to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceYverdon Sport or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yverdon Sport welcome Étoile Carouge to Stade Municipal for a Challenge League fixture on Sunday 3 May (13:00 WAT). In the table, Yverdon Sport are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 13 matches; Étoile Carouge are 7th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Yverdon Sport, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Étoile Carouge, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rapperswil, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Étoile Carouge 2–2 Yverdon Sport.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yverdon Sport 2.0 xG, Étoile Carouge 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yverdon Sport 59%, draw 22%, Étoile Carouge 19%.
Lower-risk option: Yverdon Sport or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yverdon Sport 2–0 Étoile Carouge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yverdon Sport59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.60
Étoile Carouge19%fair 5.18 · @3.95
2.97Expected goals
2.01Yverdon Sport xG
0.96Étoile Carouge xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Yverdon Sport 2.0 – 1.0 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers Yverdon Sport have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Étoile Carouge 19%.
How many goals will there be in Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is Yverdon Sport 2–0 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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