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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Aarau v Stade Nyonnais: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland
5–1
FT
FC Aarau 67%Draw 20%Stade Nyonnais 13% Expected goals 2.24 – 0.98
67%
Betarazi pick

FC Aarau to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Aarau to win ✓67% · @1.35
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 8 May the Challenge League brings FC Aarau against Stade Nyonnais. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, FC Aarau are 6th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Stade Nyonnais are 10th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

FC Aarau, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Neuchatel Xamax FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Stade Nyonnais, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC WIL 1900, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours FC Aarau, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Stade Nyonnais.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Stade Nyonnais 1–1 FC Aarau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Aarau 2.2 xG, Stade Nyonnais 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Aarau 67%, draw 20%, Stade Nyonnais 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Aarau to win (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Aarau 2–0 Stade Nyonnais. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Aarau67%fair 1.50 · @1.35
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.75
Stade Nyonnais13%fair 7.41 · @6.50
3.23Expected goals
2.24FC Aarau xG
0.98Stade Nyonnais xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: FC Aarau 2.2 – 1.0 Stade Nyonnais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Aarau to win ✓67%1.501.35
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓87%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.57
Draw no betFC Aarau (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapFC Aarau -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
First team to scoreFC Aarau to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultFC Aarau ahead at half-time ✓48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau ✓43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

FC Aarau – last 6

WWLWWW
1 May@ Neuchatel Xamax FC3–1W
22 Aprvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy3–0W
7 Aprvs Étoile Carouge1–3L
13 Marvs FC Vaduz2–0W
6 Mar@ Étoile Carouge3–0W
27 Febvs Rapperswil5–3W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Stade Nyonnais – last 6

LLLLDW
1 Mayvs FC WIL 19000–1L
24 Aprvs FC Vaduz1–3L
10 Apr@ Neuchatel Xamax FC1–4L
6 Aprvs Yverdon Sport1–4L
3 Apr@ Étoile Carouge0–0D
20 Marvs Rapperswil2–1W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Stade Nyonnais v FC Aarau1–1
FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Our pick is FC Aarau to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

On our numbers FC Aarau have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stade Nyonnais 13%.

How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Our predicted score is FC Aarau 2–0 Stade Nyonnais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.