Double chanceStade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Bellinzona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 8 May the Challenge League brings Stade Lausanne-Ouchy against Bellinzona at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT.
Current form
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Yverdon Sport, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Bellinzona, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Rapperswil, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Bellinzona 2–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2.5 xG, Bellinzona 0.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 69%, draw 19%, Bellinzona 12%.
Lower-risk option: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw (88%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2–0 Bellinzona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @4.00
Bellinzona12%fair 8.26 · @4.80
3.25Expected goals
2.52Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
0.74Bellinzona xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2.5 – 0.7 Bellinzona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Double chance
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.53
Draw no bet
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy -1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to score first✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✓
What is the prediction for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Bellinzona?
Our pick is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Bellinzona?
On our numbers Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bellinzona 12%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Bellinzona?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Bellinzona?
Our predicted score is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2–0 Bellinzona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Bellinzona?
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Bellinzona (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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