Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Santa Fe welcome San Lorenzo to Estadio 15 de Abril for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Saturday 14 February (02:15 WAT). In the table, Union Santa Fe are 16th, lower half, on 42 points after 32 matches; San Lorenzo are 18th (lower half) with 41. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Santa Fe 1.2 xG, San Lorenzo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Santa Fe 43%, draw 30%, San Lorenzo 26%.
Lower-risk option: Union Santa Fe or draw (74%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Santa Fe or draw (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Santa Fe 1–0 San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Santa Fe43%fair 2.30 · @2.30
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.62
San Lorenzo26%fair 3.79 · @3.95
2.09Expected goals
1.23Union Santa Fe xG
0.86San Lorenzo xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.2 – 0.9 San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win✗
43%
2.30
2.30
Double chance
Union Santa Fe or draw✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.42
Draw no bet
Union Santa Fe (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
San Lorenzo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.83
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Union Santa Fe to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Santa Fe / FT Union Santa Fe✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.58
–
Recent results
Union Santa Fe
No recent results on record.
San Lorenzo
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Santa Fe and San Lorenzo.
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Union Santa Fe or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 30% and San Lorenzo 26%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–0 San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo?
Union Santa Fe vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Banfield
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