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Belgrano Cordoba v Atletico Tucuman: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Julio César Villagra
Belgrano Cordoba 53%Draw 27%Atletico Tucuman 20% Expected goals 1.34 – 0.85
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBelgrano Cordoba to win ✓53% · @1.73
Double chanceBelgrano Cordoba or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73

Belgrano Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 25 February the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Belgrano Cordoba against Atletico Tucuman at Estadio Julio César Villagra. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Belgrano Cordoba are 10th, upper half, on 49 points after 32 matches; Atletico Tucuman are 26th (lower half) with 32. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Belgrano Cordoba 1.3 xG, Atletico Tucuman 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Belgrano Cordoba 53%, draw 27%, Atletico Tucuman 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Belgrano Cordoba or draw (80%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belgrano Cordoba 1–0 Atletico Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Belgrano Cordoba53%fair 1.89 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.40
Atletico Tucuman20%fair 5.04 · @5.10
2.18Expected goals
1.34Belgrano Cordoba xG
0.85Atletico Tucuman xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–110%
2–19%

From our goals model: Belgrano Cordoba 1.3 – 0.8 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelgrano Cordoba to win ✓53%1.891.73
Double chanceBelgrano Cordoba or draw ✓80%1.251.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.10 ▲
Draw no betBelgrano Cordoba (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapAtletico Tucuman +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.251.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreBelgrano Cordoba to score first ✓54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belgrano Cordoba / FT Belgrano Cordoba ✓28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.73–

Recent results

Belgrano Cordoba – last 2

DW
20 Feb@ Defensa Y Justicia1–1D
15 Feb@ Independ. Rivadavia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Atletico Tucuman – last 2

LW
21 Feb@ Instituto Cordoba1–2L
15 Febvs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto4–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Belgrano Cordoba and Atletico Tucuman.

Belgrano Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Belgrano Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Belgrano Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

On our numbers Belgrano Cordoba have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atletico Tucuman 20%.

How many goals will there be in Belgrano Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Belgrano Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

Our predicted score is Belgrano Cordoba 1–0 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Belgrano Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

Belgrano Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio César Villagra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.