River Plate 62%Draw 22%Banfield 16%Expected goals 1.64 – 0.71
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win ✓62% · @1.47
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.42
River Plate vs Banfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 26 February the Liga Profesional Argentina brings River Plate against Banfield at Estadio Mâs Monumental. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, River Plate are 7th, upper half, on 55 points after 32 matches; Banfield are 25th (lower half) with 33. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
River Plate, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Velez Sarsfield, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give River Plate 1.6 xG, Banfield 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – River Plate 62%, draw 22%, Banfield 16%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: River Plate 1–0 Banfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
River Plate62%fair 1.62 · @1.47
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.90
Banfield16%fair 6.32 · @7.50
2.36Expected goals
1.64River Plate xG
0.71Banfield xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.6 – 0.7 Banfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✓
62%
1.62
1.47
Double chance
River Plate or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.55
Draw no bet
River Plate (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Banfield +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
River Plate to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.42
–
Recent results
River Plate – last 3
LWL
22 Feb
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Ciudad de Bolívar
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Banfield – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Newells Old Boys
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between River Plate and Banfield.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Banfield?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win River Plate vs Banfield?
On our numbers River Plate have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Banfield 16%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Banfield?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Banfield?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Banfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Banfield?
River Plate vs Banfield (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mâs Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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