Sarmiento Junin 34%Draw 27%Union Santa Fe 39%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.18
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion Santa Fe to win ✓39% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.87
Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Santa Fe travel to face Sarmiento Junin on Thursday 26 February in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Eva Perón the venue – the ball rolls at 21:15 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento Junin are 19th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Union Santa Fe are 16th (lower half) with 42. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Junin 1.2 xG, Union Santa Fe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Junin 34%, draw 27%, Union Santa Fe 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Junin34%fair 2.92 · @3.40
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.88
Union Santa Fe39%fair 2.58 · @2.32
2.35Expected goals
1.17Sarmiento Junin xG
1.18Union Santa Fe xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 1.2 – 1.2 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win✓
39%
2.58
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Union Santa Fe (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento Junin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.03
First team to score
Union Santa Fe to score first✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Santa Fe / FT Union Santa Fe✓
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.87
–
Recent results
Sarmiento Junin – last 2
LL
20 Feb
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Huracan
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Union Santa Fe – last 2
WD
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs San Lorenzo
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Junin and Union Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Union Santa Fe 39%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe?
Sarmiento Junin vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Perón.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Racing Club1
Independ. Rivadavia1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2
Huracan0
River Plate3
Banfield1