Instituto Cordoba 46%Draw 26%Union Santa Fe 28%Expected goals 1.53 – 1.04
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultInstituto Cordoba to win ✗46% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Instituto Cordoba against Union Santa Fe at Mario Alberto Kempes. Kick-off: 23:15 WAT. In the table, Instituto Cordoba are 8th, upper half, on 55 points after 32 matches; Union Santa Fe are 16th (lower half) with 42. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Instituto Cordoba, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Lorenzo, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Union Santa Fe, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sarmiento Junin, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Instituto Cordoba 1.5 xG, Union Santa Fe 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Instituto Cordoba 46%, draw 26%, Union Santa Fe 28%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Instituto Cordoba 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Instituto Cordoba46%fair 2.19 · @2.28
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.90
Union Santa Fe28%fair 3.53 · @3.50
2.58Expected goals
1.53Instituto Cordoba xG
1.04Union Santa Fe xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Instituto Cordoba 1.5 – 1.0 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Instituto Cordoba to win✗
46%
2.19
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Instituto Cordoba (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Union Santa Fe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.04
First team to score
Instituto Cordoba to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Instituto Cordoba / FT Instituto Cordoba✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Instituto Cordoba – last 3
DWW
24 Feb
@ San Lorenzo
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Atletico Tucuman
2–1
W
16 Feb
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Santa Fe – last 3
WWD
26 Feb
@ Sarmiento Junin
3–1
W
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs San Lorenzo
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Instituto Cordoba and Union Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Instituto Cordoba have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Santa Fe 28%.
How many goals will there be in Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Instituto Cordoba 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe?
Instituto Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Mario Alberto Kempes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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