Newells Old Boys 24%Draw 30%Rosario Central 46%Expected goals 0.86 – 1.27
76%
Betarazi pick
Rosario Central or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultRosario Central to win46% · @2.26
Double chanceRosario Central or draw76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.15
Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newells Old Boys welcome Rosario Central to Estadio Marcelo Bielsa for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Sunday 1 March (21:00 WAT). In the table, Newells Old Boys are 22nd, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Rosario Central are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newells Old Boys, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Estudiantes L.P., at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Rosario Central, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gimnasia L.P., away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rosario Central, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Newells Old Boys.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newells Old Boys 0.9 xG, Rosario Central 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newells Old Boys 24%, draw 30%, Rosario Central 46%.
Lower-risk option: Rosario Central or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rosario Central or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newells Old Boys 0–1 Rosario Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newells Old Boys24%fair 4.13 · @3.70
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.80
Rosario Central46%fair 2.20 · @2.26
2.13Expected goals
0.86Newells Old Boys xG
1.27Rosario Central xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 0.9 – 1.3 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central to win
46%
2.20
2.26
Double chance
Rosario Central or draw
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Rosario Central (draw no bet)
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Newells Old Boys +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Rosario Central to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Newells Old Boys – last 3
LLD
25 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rosario Central – last 3
WLW
25 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Talleres Cordoba
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Barracas Central
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newells Old Boys and Rosario Central.
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?
Our pick is Rosario Central or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Rosario Central 46%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 0–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central?
Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentinos JRS1
Barracas Central1