Gimnasia M. 41%Draw 29%Defensa Y Justicia 31%Expected goals 1.19 – 1.03
61%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia M. to win ✓41% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Gimnasia M. vs Defensa Y Justicia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 4 May the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Gimnasia M. against Defensa Y Justicia at Víctor Legrotaglie. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia M. are 17th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Defensa Y Justicia are 14th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Gimnasia M., last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lanus, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Defensa Y Justicia, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Boca Juniors, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia M. 1.2 xG, Defensa Y Justicia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 35%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia M. 41%, draw 29%, Defensa Y Justicia 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia M. 1–1 Defensa Y Justicia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia M.41%fair 2.47 · @2.34
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.90
Defensa Y Justicia31%fair 3.25 · @3.35
2.22Expected goals
1.19Gimnasia M. xG
1.03Defensa Y Justicia xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 1.2 – 1.0 Defensa Y Justicia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia M. to win✓
41%
2.47
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.55
Draw no bet
Gimnasia M. (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Defensa Y Justicia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.03
First team to score
Gimnasia M. to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia M. / FT Gimnasia M.✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.72
–
Recent results
Gimnasia M. – last 6
WWLDDL
21 Apr
vs Lanus
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Velez Sarsfield
3–2
W
18 Mar
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Independiente
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Defensa Y Justicia – last 6
LLLLWW
24 Apr
vs Boca Juniors
0–4
L
18 Apr
@ Independiente
1–3
L
13 Apr
vs Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Chaco For Ever
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ San Lorenzo
5–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Defensa Y Justicia.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Defensa Y Justicia?
On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Defensa Y Justicia 31%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Defensa Y Justicia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 1–1 Defensa Y Justicia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia M. vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Gimnasia M. vs Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Víctor Legrotaglie.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
