Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTigre to win ✗36% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.83
Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 10 March the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Tigre against Velez Sarsfield at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna. Kick-off: 23:45 WAT. In the table, Tigre are 20th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Velez Sarsfield are 6th (upper half) with 56. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tigre, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gimnasia L.P., at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Velez Sarsfield, last 4: WDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Estudiantes L.P., away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Velez Sarsfield, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Tigre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigre 1.1 xG, Velez Sarsfield 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigre 36%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigre 1–1 Velez Sarsfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigre36%fair 2.76 · @2.52
Draw30%fair 3.32 · @2.74
Velez Sarsfield34%fair 2.98 · @3.25
2.13Expected goals
1.07Tigre xG
1.06Velez Sarsfield xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tigre 1.1 – 1.1 Velez Sarsfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✗
36%
2.76
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Tigre (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Velez Sarsfield +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Tigre to score first✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.83
–
Recent results
Tigre – last 4
DLDW
2 Mar
vs Gimnasia L.P.
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Barracas Central
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
0–0
D
17 Feb
vs Claypole
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Velez Sarsfield – last 4
WDWD
2 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs River Plate
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre and Velez Sarsfield.
What is the prediction for Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield?
On our numbers Tigre have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Velez Sarsfield 34%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our predicted score is Tigre 1–1 Velez Sarsfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield?
Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
