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Barracas Central v Sarmiento Junin: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
1–2
FT
Barracas Central 43%Draw 29%Sarmiento Junin 28% Expected goals 1.20 – 0.88
72%
Betarazi pick

Barracas Central or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarracas Central to win ✗43% · @2.34
Double chanceBarracas Central or draw ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66

Barracas Central vs Sarmiento Junin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 2 April the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Barracas Central against Sarmiento Junin at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Barracas Central are 12th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Sarmiento Junin are 19th (lower half) with 40.

Current form

Barracas Central, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Huracan, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sarmiento Junin, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to River Plate, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Barracas Central, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Sarmiento Junin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barracas Central 1.2 xG, Sarmiento Junin 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barracas Central 43%, draw 29%, Sarmiento Junin 28%.
  • Lower-risk option: Barracas Central or draw (72%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Barracas Central or draw (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barracas Central 1–0 Sarmiento Junin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barracas Central43%fair 2.31 · @2.34
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.80
Sarmiento Junin28%fair 3.61 · @3.50
2.08Expected goals
1.20Barracas Central xG
0.88Sarmiento Junin xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Barracas Central 1.2 – 0.9 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarracas Central to win ✗43%2.312.34
Double chanceBarracas Central or draw ✗72%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.53
Draw no betBarracas Central (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapSarmiento Junin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.701.67
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.10
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.03
First team to scoreBarracas Central to score first ✗51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barracas Central / FT Barracas Central ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.66–

Recent results

Barracas Central – last 6

DWWDWL
24 Mar@ Huracan0–0D
16 Marvs Atletico Tucuman2–1W
12 Mar@ Independ. Rivadavia2–1W
1 Mar@ Argentinos JRS1–1D
25 Febvs Tigre2–1W
16 Feb@ Rosario Central0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sarmiento Junin – last 6

LDWLLL
15 Mar@ River Plate0–2L
11 Marvs Racing Club0–0D
3 Marvs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–0W
26 Febvs Union Santa Fe1–3L
20 Feb@ Estudiantes L.P.0–1L
14 Feb@ Huracan0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barracas Central and Sarmiento Junin.

Barracas Central vs Sarmiento Junin head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barracas Central vs Sarmiento Junin?

Our pick is Barracas Central or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Barracas Central vs Sarmiento Junin?

On our numbers Barracas Central have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sarmiento Junin 28%.

How many goals will there be in Barracas Central vs Sarmiento Junin?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barracas Central vs Sarmiento Junin?

Our predicted score is Barracas Central 1–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Barracas Central vs Sarmiento Junin?

Barracas Central vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.