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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tigre v Independ. Rivadavia: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre

LDDDL
0–2
FT

Independ. Rivadavia

WWLDD
Tigre 39%Draw 29%Independ. Rivadavia 33% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.09
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTigre to win ✗39% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.48

Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tigre welcome Independ. Rivadavia to Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Thursday 2 April (21:30 WAT). In the table, Tigre are 20th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Independ. Rivadavia are 4th (among the top four) with 57. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tigre, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Banfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rosario Central, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Independ. Rivadavia, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Tigre.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tigre 1.2 xG, Independ. Rivadavia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tigre 39%, draw 29%, Independ. Rivadavia 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigre 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tigre39%fair 2.59 · @2.32
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @2.92
Independ. Rivadavia33%fair 3.07 · @3.35
2.31Expected goals
1.21Tigre xG
1.09Independ. Rivadavia xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Tigre 1.2 – 1.1 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigre to win ✗39%2.592.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.401.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.872.15 ▲
Draw no betTigre (draw no bet) ✗54%1.84–
Asian handicapIndepend. Rivadavia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.571.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.04
First team to scoreTigre to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigre / FT Tigre ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.48–

Recent results

Tigre – last 6

LDDDLD
21 Mar@ Banfield0–1L
16 Marvs Argentinos JRS1–1D
10 Marvs Velez Sarsfield1–1D
2 Marvs Gimnasia L.P.2–2D
25 Feb@ Barracas Central1–2L
22 Feb@ Central Cordoba de Santiago0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Independ. Rivadavia – last 6

WWLDDL
23 Marvs Rosario Central2–0W
15 Mar@ Gimnasia L.P.3–2W
12 Marvs Barracas Central1–2L
3 Marvs River Plate1–1D
26 Feb@ Racing Club1–1D
15 Febvs Belgrano Cordoba0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tigre and Independ. Rivadavia.

Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

League hub
FT Lanus0 Platense0 146%1.96X29%3.10225%4.20 1.2–0.8xG 1XLanus or draw 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Barracas Central1 Sarmiento Junin2 143%2.34X29%2.80228%3.50 1.2–0.9xG 1XBarracas Central or draw 72%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia?

On our numbers Tigre have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Independ. Rivadavia 33%.

How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Our predicted score is Tigre 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Tigre vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.