Deportivo Riestra v Instituto Cordoba: numbers & prediction

Deportivo Riestra vs Instituto Cordoba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Deportivo Riestra v Instituto Cordoba in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Guillermo Laza. In the table, Deportivo Riestra are 28th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 32 matches; Instituto Cordoba are 8th (upper half) with 55. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Deportivo Riestra, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Palestino, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Instituto Cordoba, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Defensa Y Justicia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Instituto Cordoba, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Riestra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Riestra 0.8 xG, Instituto Cordoba 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Riestra 29%, draw 30%, Instituto Cordoba 42%.
• Lower-risk option: Instituto Cordoba or draw (71%) at 1.40.
• GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
• Price worth noting: Instituto Cordoba to win @2.96 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Instituto Cordoba or draw (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Instituto Cordoba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.