Estudiantes L.P. v Union Santa Fe Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win45% · @2.28

Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw73% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.16

Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Estudiantes L.P. welcome Union Santa Fe to Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Saturday 11 April (21:15 WAT). In the table, Estudiantes L.P. are 11th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Union Santa Fe are 16th (lower half) with 42.

Current form

Estudiantes L.P., last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Independiente Medellin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Union Santa Fe, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Agropecuario, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Union Santa Fe, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Estudiantes L.P..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes L.P. 1.4 xG, Union Santa Fe 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes L.P. 45%, draw 28%, Union Santa Fe 27%.
Lower-risk option: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (73%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Estudiantes L.P. or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Union Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Estudiantes L.P.45%fair 2.22 · @2.28

Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.70

Union Santa Fe27%fair 3.76 · @3.80

2.41Expected goals

1.42Estudiantes L.P. xG

0.99Union Santa Fe xG

53%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–113%

2–09%

0–09%

2–19%

0–19%

From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.4 – 1.0 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Estudiantes L.P. to win	45%	2.22	2.28
Double chance	Estudiantes L.P. or draw	73%	1.36	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	53%	1.90	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Estudiantes L.P. (draw no bet)	63%	1.59	–
Asian handicap	Union Santa Fe +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	65%	1.55	1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	61%	1.64	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	80%	1.25	1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	90%	1.11	1.04
First team to score	Estudiantes L.P. to score first	54%	1.87	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.	28%	3.62	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	11.16	–

Estudiantes L.P. – last 6

DLWWLL

9 Apr	@ Independiente Medellin	1–1	D
3 Apr	@ San Lorenzo	0–1	L
23 Mar	vs Central Cordoba de Santiago	5–0	W
18 Mar	@ Gimnasia M.	2–1	W
14 Mar	vs Lanus	0–1	L
2 Mar	vs Velez Sarsfield	0–1	L

1.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Union Santa Fe – last 6

WDDWWW

31 Mar	vs Agropecuario	2–0	W
16 Mar	vs Boca Juniors	1–1	D
10 Mar	@ Independiente	4–4	D
1 Mar	@ Instituto Cordoba	2–1	W
26 Feb	@ Sarmiento Junin	3–1	W
23 Feb	vs Aldosivi	1–0	W

2.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	+12	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	+13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	+6	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	+4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	+4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	+3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	0	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	+4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	-3	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	-5	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	-12	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	-7	11

Team

Pts

+12

+13

-3

-8

-5

Central Cordoba de Santiago

-10

Newells Old Boys

-12

Deportivo Riestra

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe?

Our pick is Estudiantes L.P. or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe?

On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Union Santa Fe 27%.

How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe?

Estudiantes L.P. vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Estudiantes L.P. v Union Santa Fe: numbers & prediction