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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lanus v Banfield: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Ciudad de Lanus

Lanus

LDLWW
1–0
FT
Lanus 53%Draw 26%Banfield 21% Expected goals 1.53 – 0.88
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLanus to win ✓53% · @1.80
Double chanceLanus or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81

Lanus vs Banfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Monday 13 April: Lanus v Banfield in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus. In the table, Lanus are 9th, upper half, on 50 points after 32 matches; Banfield are 25th (lower half) with 33. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lanus, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mirassol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Banfield, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Argentinos JRS, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lanus 1.5 xG, Banfield 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lanus 53%, draw 26%, Banfield 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lanus or draw (79%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lanus 1–0 Banfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lanus53%fair 1.89 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.35
Banfield21%fair 4.87 · @4.55
2.41Expected goals
1.53Lanus xG
0.88Banfield xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Lanus 1.5 – 0.9 Banfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLanus to win ✓53%1.891.80
Double chanceLanus or draw ✓79%1.261.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.10 ▲
Draw no betLanus (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapBanfield +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.05
First team to scoreLanus to score first ✓58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lanus / FT Lanus ✗32%3.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.81–

Recent results

Lanus – last 6

LDLWWL
8 Apr@ Mirassol0–1L
2 Aprvs Platense0–0D
27 Mar@ Argentinos JRS1–2L
17 Marvs Newells Old Boys5–0W
14 Mar@ Estudiantes L.P.1–0W
5 Marvs Boca Juniors0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Banfield – last 6

LWWLLW
6 Apr@ Argentinos JRS2–3L
26 Marvs Real Pilar3–0W
21 Marvs Tigre1–0W
15 Mar@ Rosario Central1–2L
11 Marvs Gimnasia L.P.1–2L
3 Marvs Aldosivi2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lanus and Banfield.

Lanus vs Banfield head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lanus vs Banfield?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Lanus vs Banfield?

On our numbers Lanus have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Banfield 21%.

How many goals will there be in Lanus vs Banfield?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lanus vs Banfield?

Our predicted score is Lanus 1–0 Banfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lanus vs Banfield?

Lanus vs Banfield (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.