Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSarmiento Junin to win ✗38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.67
Sarmiento Junin vs Gimnasia L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarmiento Junin welcome Gimnasia L.P. to Estadio Eva Perón for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Monday 13 April (20:30 WAT). In the table, Sarmiento Junin are 19th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia L.P. are 5th (upper half) with 57. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sarmiento Junin, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tristan Suarez, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnasia L.P., last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Deportivo Camioneros, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sarmiento Junin, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Gimnasia L.P..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Junin 1.2 xG, Gimnasia L.P. 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Junin 38%, draw 27%, Gimnasia L.P. 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Gimnasia L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Junin38%fair 2.63 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.90
Gimnasia L.P.35%fair 2.88 · @3.30
2.48Expected goals
1.23Sarmiento Junin xG
1.26Gimnasia L.P. xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 1.2 – 1.3 Gimnasia L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento Junin to win✗
38%
2.63
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Sarmiento Junin (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento Junin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.04
First team to score
Gimnasia L.P. to score first✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia L.P. / FT Gimnasia L.P.✓
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.67
–
Recent results
Sarmiento Junin – last 6
WWLDWL
9 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barracas Central
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ River Plate
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Union Santa Fe
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gimnasia L.P. – last 6
WLLLWD
10 Apr
vs Deportivo Camioneros
4–1
W
5 Apr
vs Huracan
0–3
L
21 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Independ. Rivadavia
2–3
L
11 Mar
@ Banfield
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Tigre
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Junin and Gimnasia L.P..
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Gimnasia L.P.?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia L.P. 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Gimnasia L.P.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Gimnasia L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Sarmiento Junin vs Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Perón.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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