Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion Santa Fe to win ✗54% · @1.65
Double chanceUnion Santa Fe or draw ✗80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 April the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Union Santa Fe against Newells Old Boys at Estadio 15 de Abril. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Union Santa Fe are 16th, lower half, on 42 points after 32 matches; Newells Old Boys are 22nd (lower half) with 38.
Current form
Union Santa Fe, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Agropecuario, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Newells Old Boys, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Central Cordoba de Santiago, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Union Santa Fe, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Newells Old Boys.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Santa Fe 1.5 xG, Newells Old Boys 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Santa Fe 54%, draw 25%, Newells Old Boys 20%.
Lower-risk option: Union Santa Fe or draw (80%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Santa Fe 1–0 Newells Old Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Santa Fe54%fair 1.85 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.55
Newells Old Boys20%fair 4.92 · @5.50
2.51Expected goals
1.51Union Santa Fe xG
0.99Newells Old Boys xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.5 – 1.0 Newells Old Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win✗
54%
1.85
1.65
Double chance
Union Santa Fe or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Union Santa Fe (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Newells Old Boys +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Union Santa Fe to score first
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Santa Fe / FT Union Santa Fe✗
29%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Union Santa Fe – last 6
WDDWWW
31 Mar
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Independiente
4–4
D
1 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Sarmiento Junin
3–1
W
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Newells Old Boys – last 6
WLLDLL
6 Apr
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
3–1
W
30 Mar
vs Acassuso
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Lanus
0–5
L
11 Mar
vs Platense
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Santa Fe and Newells Old Boys.
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newells Old Boys 20%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–0 Newells Old Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys?
Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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