Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓46% · @2.12
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Defensa Y Justicia welcome Boca Juniors to Estadio Norberto Tomaghello for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Friday 24 April (00:00 WAT). In the table, Defensa Y Justicia are 14th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Boca Juniors are 1st (leading the league) with 63. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Defensa Y Justicia, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Independiente, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Boca Juniors, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Barcelona SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Boca Juniors, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Defensa Y Justicia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensa Y Justicia 0.9 xG, Boca Juniors 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensa Y Justicia 26%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 46%.
Lower-risk option: Boca Juniors or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Boca Juniors or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensa Y Justicia 0–1 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensa Y Justicia26%fair 3.78 · @3.70
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.05
Boca Juniors46%fair 2.20 · @2.12
2.16Expected goals
0.88Defensa Y Justicia xG
1.28Boca Juniors xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Defensa Y Justicia 0.9 – 1.3 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✓
46%
2.20
2.12
Double chance
Boca Juniors or draw✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Boca Juniors (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Defensa Y Justicia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Boca Juniors to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✓
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.03
–
Recent results
Defensa Y Justicia – last 6
LLLWWD
18 Apr
@ Independiente
1–3
L
13 Apr
vs Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Chaco For Ever
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ San Lorenzo
5–2
W
12 Mar
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 6
WDWWWD
15 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
3–0
W
11 Apr
vs Independiente
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ U. Catolica
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–0
W
23 Mar
vs Instituto Cordoba
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Union Santa Fe
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensa Y Justicia and Boca Juniors.
What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Boca Juniors or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Defensa Y Justicia have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Boca Juniors 46%.
How many goals will there be in Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Defensa Y Justicia 0–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
Defensa Y Justicia vs Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tomaghello.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1
Rosario Central2