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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Riestra v Independiente: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Guillermo Laza
1–0
–
Deportivo Riestra 26%Draw 31%Independiente 43% Expected goals 0.82 – 1.09
74%
Betarazi pick

Independiente or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente to win43% · @2.26
Double chanceIndependiente or draw74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.18

Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independiente travel to face Deportivo Riestra on Friday 24 April in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Guillermo Laza the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Riestra are 28th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 32 matches; Independiente are 13th (upper half) with 47. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Deportivo Riestra, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Talleres Cordoba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Independiente, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Defensa Y Justicia, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Independiente, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Riestra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Riestra 0.8 xG, Independiente 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Riestra 26%, draw 31%, Independiente 43%.
  • Lower-risk option: Independiente or draw (74%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Independiente or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Independiente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Riestra26%fair 3.80 · @3.65
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @2.84
Independiente43%fair 2.32 · @2.26
1.91Expected goals
0.82Deportivo Riestra xG
1.09Independiente xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%

From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 0.8 – 1.1 Independiente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente to win43%2.322.26
Double chanceIndependiente or draw74%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.911.48
Draw no betIndependiente (draw no bet)62%1.61–
Asian handicapDeportivo Riestra +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals56%1.781.70
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals70%1.421.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals87%1.151.09
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals93%1.071.03
First team to scoreIndependiente to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente / FT Independiente23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116%6.18–

Recent results

Deportivo Riestra – last 6

LLDDLD
20 Apr@ Talleres Cordoba0–2L
14 Apr@ Gremio0–1L
8 Aprvs Palestino0–0D
25 Marvs San Lorenzo1–1D
18 Mar@ Central Cordoba de Santiago0–1L
12 Marvs Gimnasia M.0–0D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Independiente – last 6

WDWLLD
18 Aprvs Defensa Y Justicia3–1W
11 Apr@ Boca Juniors1–1D
27 Marvs Atenas4–2W
22 Marvs Talleres Cordoba1–2L
17 Mar@ Instituto Cordoba1–2L
10 Marvs Union Santa Fe4–4D
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and Independiente.

Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?

Our pick is Independiente or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?

On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Independiente 43%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Independiente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?

Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.