Independ. Rivadavia 53%Draw 27%Gimnasia M. 20%Expected goals 1.44 – 0.88
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win53% · @1.80
Double chanceIndepend. Rivadavia or draw80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.14
Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia M. travel to face Independ. Rivadavia on Sunday 26 April in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Independ. Rivadavia are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia M. are 17th (lower half) with 41. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Banfield, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnasia M., last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lanus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Independ. Rivadavia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Gimnasia M..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independ. Rivadavia 1.4 xG, Gimnasia M. 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independ. Rivadavia 53%, draw 27%, Gimnasia M. 20%.
Lower-risk option: Independ. Rivadavia or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Gimnasia M.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independ. Rivadavia53%fair 1.87 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.15
Gimnasia M.20%fair 4.97 · @5.00
2.32Expected goals
1.44Independ. Rivadavia xG
0.88Gimnasia M. xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.4 – 0.9 Gimnasia M. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independ. Rivadavia to win
53%
1.87
1.80
Double chance
Independ. Rivadavia or draw
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Independ. Rivadavia (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia M. +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.04
First team to score
Independ. Rivadavia to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
DWWWWW
20 Apr
@ Banfield
0–0
D
16 Apr
@ Fluminense
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Bolívar
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Tigre
2–0
W
23 Mar
vs Rosario Central
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Gimnasia L.P.
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gimnasia M. – last 6
WWLDDL
21 Apr
vs Lanus
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Velez Sarsfield
3–2
W
18 Mar
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Independiente
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independ. Rivadavia and Gimnasia M..
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia M. 20%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Gimnasia M., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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