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Newells Old Boys v Instituto Cordoba: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Sun 26 Apr 2026
Newells Old Boys 33%Draw 28%Instituto Cordoba 39% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.23
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultInstituto Cordoba to win39% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.34

Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Instituto Cordoba travel to face Newells Old Boys on Sunday 26 April in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Marcelo Bielsa the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Newells Old Boys are 22nd, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Instituto Cordoba are 8th (upper half) with 55. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Newells Old Boys, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Union Santa Fe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Instituto Cordoba, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Defensa Y Justicia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newells Old Boys 1.1 xG, Instituto Cordoba 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Newells Old Boys 33%, draw 28%, Instituto Cordoba 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newells Old Boys 1–1 Instituto Cordoba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newells Old Boys33%fair 3.01 · @2.80
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.00
Instituto Cordoba39%fair 2.60 · @2.64
2.34Expected goals
1.11Newells Old Boys xG
1.23Instituto Cordoba xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.1 – 1.2 Instituto Cordoba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInstituto Cordoba to win39%2.602.64
Double chanceEither team to win72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.822.00 ▲
Draw no betInstituto Cordoba (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapNewells Old Boys +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals65%1.531.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.661.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.101.05
First team to scoreInstituto Cordoba to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Instituto Cordoba / FT Instituto Cordoba22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%12.34–

Recent results

Newells Old Boys – last 6

WWLLDL
18 Apr@ Union Santa Fe3–2W
6 Apr@ Central Cordoba de Santiago3–1W
30 Marvs Acassuso0–2L
17 Mar@ Lanus0–5L
11 Marvs Platense1–1D
25 Febvs Estudiantes L.P.0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Instituto Cordoba – last 6

WWLWLL
7 Aprvs Defensa Y Justicia2–0W
2 Aprvs Atlanta2–0W
23 Mar@ Boca Juniors0–2L
17 Marvs Independiente2–1W
12 Mar@ Talleres Cordoba0–2L
1 Marvs Union Santa Fe1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Newells Old Boys and Instituto Cordoba.

Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba?

On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Instituto Cordoba 39%.

How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba?

Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–1 Instituto Cordoba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba?

Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.