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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Platense v San Lorenzo: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez
0–1
FT
Platense 41%Draw 31%San Lorenzo 28% Expected goals 1.06 – 0.74
72%
Betarazi pick

Platense or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultPlatense to win ✗41% · @2.34
Double chancePlatense or draw ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.73

Platense vs San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Platense welcome San Lorenzo to Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Saturday 25 April (01:30 WAT). In the table, Platense are 24th, lower half, on 36 points after 32 matches; San Lorenzo are 18th (lower half) with 41.

Current form

Platense, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Central Cordoba de Santiago, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

San Lorenzo, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Velez Sarsfield, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours San Lorenzo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Platense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Platense 1.1 xG, San Lorenzo 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Platense 41%, draw 31%, San Lorenzo 28%.
  • Lower-risk option: Platense or draw (72%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Platense or draw (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Platense 1–0 San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Platense41%fair 2.41 · @2.34
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @2.80
San Lorenzo28%fair 3.59 · @3.50
1.80Expected goals
1.06Platense xG
0.74San Lorenzo xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Platense 1.1 – 0.7 San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlatense to win ✗41%2.412.34
Double chancePlatense or draw ✗72%1.391.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.861.50
Draw no betPlatense (draw no bet) ✗60%1.67–
Asian handicapSan Lorenzo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗55%1.831.70
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.141.09
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.071.03
First team to scorePlatense to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.73–

Recent results

Platense – last 6

LWLDDD
20 Apr@ Central Cordoba de Santiago3–4L
17 Apr@ Penarol2–1W
10 Aprvs Corinthians0–2L
2 Apr@ Lanus0–0D
11 Mar@ Newells Old Boys1–1D
2 Mar@ Deportivo Riestra0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Lorenzo – last 6

DWDWDW
20 Aprvs Velez Sarsfield0–0D
17 Aprvs Deportivo Cuenca2–0W
8 Apr@ Deportivo Recoleta1–1D
3 Aprvs Estudiantes L.P.1–0W
25 Mar@ Deportivo Riestra1–1D
21 Marvs Deportivo Rincon5–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Platense and San Lorenzo.

Platense vs San Lorenzo head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Platense vs San Lorenzo?

Our pick is Platense or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Platense vs San Lorenzo?

On our numbers Platense have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 31% and San Lorenzo 28%.

How many goals will there be in Platense vs San Lorenzo?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Platense vs San Lorenzo?

Our predicted score is Platense 1–0 San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Platense vs San Lorenzo?

Platense vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.