Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
1
Value bet: Sarmiento Junin to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTigre to win ✗36% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.88
Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 25 April the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Sarmiento Junin against Tigre at Estadio Eva Perón. Kick-off: 23:15 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento Junin are 19th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Tigre are 20th (lower half) with 39. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sarmiento Junin, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rosario Central, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Tigre, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Huracan, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sarmiento Junin, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Tigre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Junin 1.1 xG, Tigre 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Junin 34%, draw 30%, Tigre 36%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Sarmiento Junin to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Tigre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Junin34%fair 2.95 · @3.25
Draw30%fair 3.37 · @2.78
Tigre36%fair 2.75 · @2.48
2.13Expected goals
1.06Sarmiento Junin xG
1.07Tigre xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 1.1 – 1.1 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✗
36%
2.75
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.55
Draw no bet
Tigre (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento Junin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Tigre to score first✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.88
–
Recent results
Sarmiento Junin – last 6
LLWWLD
20 Apr
@ Rosario Central
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barracas Central
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ River Plate
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tigre – last 6
DLDLLD
21 Apr
vs Huracan
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Macara
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Independ. Rivadavia
0–2
L
21 Mar
@ Banfield
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Junin and Tigre.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Tigre 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre?
Sarmiento Junin vs Tigre (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Perón.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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