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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

RB Bragantino v Atletico Paranaense: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
RB Bragantino 57%Draw 25%Atletico Paranaense 18% Expected goals 1.52 – 0.83
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRB Bragantino to win ✗57% · @1.74
Double chanceRB Bragantino or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93

RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

RB Bragantino welcome Atletico Paranaense to Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques for a Serie A fixture on Wednesday 25 February (23:00 WAT). In the table, RB Bragantino are 8th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Atletico Paranaense are 5th (upper half) with 54.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RB Bragantino 1.5 xG, Atletico Paranaense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – RB Bragantino 57%, draw 25%, Atletico Paranaense 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: RB Bragantino or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Bragantino 1–0 Atletico Paranaense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RB Bragantino57%fair 1.75 · @1.74
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Atletico Paranaense18%fair 5.56 · @5.00
2.35Expected goals
1.52RB Bragantino xG
0.83Atletico Paranaense xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: RB Bragantino 1.5 – 0.8 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
Attack vs Serie A average+2%+14%
Goals conceded vs average-12%+15%
Our expected goals here1.781.15

Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRB Bragantino to win ✗57%1.751.74
Double chanceRB Bragantino or draw ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.832.00 ▲
Draw no betRB Bragantino (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapAtletico Paranaense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.121.07
First team to scoreRB Bragantino to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT RB Bragantino / FT RB Bragantino ✗32%3.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

RB Bragantino – last 1

W
16 Febvs Novorizontino3–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Atletico Paranaense – last 2

LL
22 Febvs Londrina0–1L
19 Febvs Corinthians0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between RB Bragantino and Atletico Paranaense.

RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense?

On our numbers RB Bragantino have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Paranaense 18%.

How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our predicted score is RB Bragantino 1–0 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense?

RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.