Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGremio to win ✗39% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.19
Gremio vs RB Bragantino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RB Bragantino travel to face Gremio on Friday 13 March in the Serie A, with Arena do Grêmio the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Gremio are 18th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 34 matches; RB Bragantino are 8th (upper half) with 47.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio 1.3 xG, RB Bragantino 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio 39%, draw 27%, RB Bragantino 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: RB Bragantino to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio 1–1 RB Bragantino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio39%fair 2.54 · @2.16
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.35
RB Bragantino34%fair 2.95 · @3.25
2.53Expected goals
1.29Gremio xG
1.25RB Bragantino xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.3 – 1.2 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Attack vs Serie A average
-16%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.13
1.19
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gremio to win✗
39%
2.54
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.73
Draw no bet
Gremio (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
RB Bragantino +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Gremio to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gremio / FT Gremio✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.19
–
Recent results
Gremio – last 2
WD
26 Feb
vs Atletico-MG
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Juventude
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
RB Bragantino – last 2
DW
25 Feb
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Novorizontino
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gremio and RB Bragantino.
What is the prediction for Gremio vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Gremio vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Gremio have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and RB Bragantino 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs RB Bragantino?
Gremio vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
