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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

RB Bragantino v Sao Paulo: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
1–2
FT
RB Bragantino 43%Draw 28%Sao Paulo 29% Expected goals 1.17 – 0.81
50%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 2.00 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultRB Bragantino to win ✗43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.04

RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

RB Bragantino welcome Sao Paulo to Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques for a Serie A fixture on Monday 16 March (00:30 WAT). In the table, RB Bragantino are 8th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Sao Paulo are 10th (upper half) with 44. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

RB Bragantino, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gremio, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Sao Paulo, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chapecoense-sc, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sao Paulo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for RB Bragantino.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RB Bragantino 1.2 xG, Sao Paulo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – RB Bragantino 43%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Bragantino 1–1 Sao Paulo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RB Bragantino43%fair 2.33 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.00
Sao Paulo29%fair 3.46 · @3.10
1.98Expected goals
1.17RB Bragantino xG
0.81Sao Paulo xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: RB Bragantino 1.2 – 0.8 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RB BragantinoSao Paulo
Attack vs Serie A average+2%-22%
Goals conceded vs average-12%-14%
Our expected goals here1.330.78

Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRB Bragantino to win ✗43%2.332.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.001.91
Draw no betRB Bragantino (draw no bet) ✗60%1.67–
Asian handicapSao Paulo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreRB Bragantino to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT RB Bragantino / FT RB Bragantino ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.04–

Recent results

RB Bragantino – last 3

DDW
13 Mar@ Gremio1–1D
25 Febvs Atletico Paranaense1–1D
16 Febvs Novorizontino3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sao Paulo – last 4

WLWW
13 Marvs Chapecoense-sc2–0W
2 Mar@ Palmeiras1–2L
25 Feb@ Coritiba1–0W
16 Feb@ Ponte Preta2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between RB Bragantino and Sao Paulo.

RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo?

On our numbers RB Bragantino have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sao Paulo 29%.

How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo?

Our predicted score is RB Bragantino 1–1 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo?

RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.