Botafogo vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 1 April the Serie A brings Botafogo against Mirassol at Estádio Nilton Santos. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Botafogo are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Mirassol are 14th (lower half) with 40. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Botafogo, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Atletico Paranaense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Mirassol, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Coritiba, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo 1.4 xG, Mirassol 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo 41%, draw 27%, Mirassol 32%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo 1–1 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo41%fair 2.44 · @2.16
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.35
Mirassol32%fair 3.10 · @3.20
2.61Expected goals
1.37Botafogo xG
1.24Mirassol xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.4 – 1.2 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Botafogo
Mirassol
Attack vs Serie A average
-23%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.15
1.11
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win✓
41%
2.44
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Botafogo (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Mirassol +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Botafogo to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo✓
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Botafogo – last 6
LLLLDD
29 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–4
L
18 Mar
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Flamengo
0–3
L
11 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Barcelona SC
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Boavista SC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mirassol – last 3
LDL
19 Mar
vs Coritiba
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Santos
2–2
D
16 Feb
vs Portuguesa
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Mirassol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Botafogo vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mirassol 32%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–1 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Mirassol?
Botafogo vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
