Internacional 41%Draw 29%Sao Paulo 30%Expected goals 1.17 – 0.92
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultInternacional to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.90
Internacional vs Sao Paulo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sao Paulo travel to face Internacional on Wednesday 1 April in the Serie A, with Estádio Beira-Rio the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Internacional are 16th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Sao Paulo are 10th (upper half) with 44.
Current form
Internacional, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santos, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Palmeiras, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Internacional 1.2 xG, Sao Paulo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional 41%, draw 29%, Sao Paulo 30%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional 1–0 Sao Paulo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Internacional41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @3.05
Sao Paulo30%fair 3.38 · @3.45
2.09Expected goals
1.17Internacional xG
0.92Sao Paulo xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.2 – 0.9 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Attack vs Serie A average
-15%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.12
0.84
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional to win✗
41%
2.42
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Internacional (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Sao Paulo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.07
First team to score
Internacional to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional / FT Internacional✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.90
–
Recent results
Internacional – last 6
WLLDWL
19 Mar
@ Santos
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Bahia
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ remo
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Ypiranga-RS
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Palmeiras
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sao Paulo – last 6
LLWWLW
22 Mar
vs Palmeiras
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ RB Bragantino
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Chapecoense-sc
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
25 Feb
@ Coritiba
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Sao Paulo.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Sao Paulo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Internacional vs Sao Paulo?
On our numbers Internacional have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sao Paulo 30%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Sao Paulo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Sao Paulo?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–0 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Sao Paulo?
Internacional vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira-Rio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
