Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico-MG to win ✗68% · @1.40
Double chanceAtletico-MG or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico-MG welcome Chapecoense-sc to Arena MRV for a Serie A fixture on Saturday 19 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico-MG are 7th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; Chapecoense-sc are 20th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico-MG, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Santos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Internacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atletico-MG, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Chapecoense-sc.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Chapecoense-sc 0–4 Atletico-MG.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico-MG 2.0 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico-MG 68%, draw 18%, Chapecoense-sc 14%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico-MG to win (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico-MG 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico-MG68%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @4.33
Chapecoense-sc14%fair 7.14 · @6.50
2.81Expected goals
2.04Atletico-MG xG
0.77Chapecoense-sc xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico-MG 2.0 – 0.8 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Atletico-MG to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Atletico-MG have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chapecoense-sc 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Atletico-MG 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc?
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena MRV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
