Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Botafogo to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMirassol to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Mirassol vs Botafogo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Mirassol v Botafogo in the Serie A, played at José Maria de Campos Maia. In the table, Mirassol are 14th, lower half, on 40 points after 34 matches; Botafogo are 11th (lower half) with 42. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mirassol, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vitoria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Botafogo, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Gremio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Apr 2026) it ended Botafogo 3–2 Mirassol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 1.6 xG, Botafogo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 44%, draw 22%, Botafogo 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Botafogo to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 1–1 Botafogo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirassol44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Botafogo34%fair 2.95 · @3.30
2.91Expected goals
1.57Mirassol xG
1.34Botafogo xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.6 – 1.3 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Mirassol vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botafogo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Botafogo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–1 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs Botafogo?
Mirassol vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at José Maria de Campos Maia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
