Fluminense v Internacional Prediction & Expected Goals (28 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFluminense to win ✓63% · @1.85

Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓83% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.40

Fluminense vs Internacional: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the Serie A brings Fluminense against Internacional at Estádio do Maracanã. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Fluminense are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 34 matches; Internacional are 16th (lower half) with 38. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Fluminense, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chapecoense-sc, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Internacional, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Botafogo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Internacional, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Fluminense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 1.8 xG, Internacional 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 63%, draw 21%, Internacional 17%.
Lower-risk option: Fluminense or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Fluminense to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fluminense or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 1–0 Internacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fluminense63%fair 1.59 · @1.85

Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.30

Internacional17%fair 6.05 · @3.90

2.61Expected goals

1.82Fluminense xG

0.79Internacional xG

51%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

2–012%

1–111%

2–110%

3–07%

0–07%

From our goals model: Fluminense 1.8 – 0.8 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Fluminense to win ✓	63%	1.59	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Fluminense or draw ✓	83%	1.20	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.95	1.83
Draw no bet	Fluminense (draw no bet) ✓	79%	1.26	–
Asian handicap	Fluminense -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.94	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
First team to score	Fluminense to score first	65%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Fluminense ahead at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense ✗	39%	2.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.40	–

Fluminense – last 6

LWLLLW

24 Oct	@ Chapecoense-sc	1–2	L
22 Oct	@ Palmeiras	1–0	W
18 Oct	vs Santos	1–2	L
15 Oct	vs Palmeiras	1–2	L
11 Oct	@ Flamengo	0–1	L
9 Oct	vs Coritiba	4–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Internacional – last 6

WLDWLW

24 Oct	vs Botafogo	3–0	W
17 Oct	@ Mirassol	0–2	L
11 Oct	@ Gremio	1–1	D
7 Oct	vs Corinthians	2–1	W
20 Sep	@ Sao Paulo	0–1	L
12 Sep	@ Chapecoense-sc	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	+39	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	+7	60
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	+13	57
5	Atletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	+8	54
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	+5	53
7	Atletico-MG	34	14	8	12	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	+1	47
10	Sao Paulo	34	12	8	14	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	-11	42
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	11	8	14	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	-9	40
15	Vitoria	34	10	8	16	-16	38
16	Internacional	34	9	11	14	-4	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	-6	37
18	Gremio	34	9	10	15	-9	37
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	-20	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	4	9	20	-35	21

Team

Pts

+42

+39

+13

-7

-11

-7

-9

-16

-4

-6

-9

-20

-35

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Internacional?

Our pick is Fluminense or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Fluminense vs Internacional?

On our numbers Fluminense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Internacional 17%.

How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Internacional?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Internacional?

Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–0 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Fluminense vs Internacional?

Fluminense vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Fluminense v Internacional: numbers & prediction