Santos vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Palmeiras travel to face Santos on Wednesday 28 October in the Serie A, with Estádio Urbano Caldeira the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Santos are 9th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Palmeiras are 2nd (among the top four) with 73. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Santos, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bahia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Palmeiras, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over RB Bragantino, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Santos.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Sep 2026) it ended Santos 0–0 Palmeiras. The last 2 head-to-heads: Santos 0 wins, Palmeiras 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.2 xG, Palmeiras 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 29%, draw 23%, Palmeiras 48%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos29%fair 3.42 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.20
Palmeiras48%fair 2.09 · @2.20
2.72Expected goals
1.16Santos xG
1.56Palmeiras xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Santos 1.2 – 1.6 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Santos vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Santos have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palmeiras 48%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Palmeiras?
Santos vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
