Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultGremio to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Friday 30 October: Gremio v Atletico Paranaense in the Serie A, played at Arena do Grêmio. In the table, Gremio are 18th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 34 matches; Atletico Paranaense are 5th (upper half) with 54. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gremio, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Coritiba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Atletico Paranaense, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vitoria, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Atletico Paranaense, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Gremio.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Gremio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio 1.4 xG, Atletico Paranaense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio 43%, draw 23%, Atletico Paranaense 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio 1–1 Atletico Paranaense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio43%fair 2.33 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Atletico Paranaense34%fair 2.94 · @3.00
2.61Expected goals
1.40Gremio xG
1.21Atletico Paranaense xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.4 – 1.2 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Gremio have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Paranaense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
