Vasco DA Gama 23%Draw 19%Flamengo 58%Expected goals 1.00 – 1.78
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vasco DA Gama welcome Flamengo to São Januário for a Serie A fixture on Friday 30 October (00:00 WAT). In the table, Vasco DA Gama are 13th, lower half, on 41 points after 33 matches; Flamengo are 1st (leading the league) with 76. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Corinthians, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Flamengo, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atletico-MG, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.0 xG, Flamengo 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 23%, draw 19%, Flamengo 58%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Flamengo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasco DA Gama23%fair 4.35 · @3.80
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.70
Flamengo58%fair 1.74 · @1.80
2.78Expected goals
1.00Vasco DA Gama xG
1.78Flamengo xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.0 – 1.8 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Flamengo (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Flamengo to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✓
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Vasco DA Gama – last 6
WLLWDW
24 Oct
vs Corinthians
3–2
W
21 Oct
vs Boca Juniors
1–3
L
18 Oct
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
14 Oct
@ Boca Juniors
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Remo
0–0
D
8 Oct
@ Botafogo
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Flamengo – last 6
WDWDWD
27 Oct
vs Atletico-MG
3–2
W
23 Oct
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Bahia
3–0
W
16 Oct
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Fluminense
1–0
W
8 Oct
@ Santos
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasco DA Gama and Flamengo.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Flamengo 58%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at São Januário.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
