Value bet: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win @ 2.56 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultU.N.A.M. - Pumas to win ✓42% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
U.N.A.M. - Pumas travel to face Puebla on Saturday 14 February in the Liga MX, with Estadio Cuauhtemoc the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Puebla are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puebla 1.3 xG, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puebla 32%, draw 26%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 42%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win @2.56 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puebla 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puebla32%fair 3.11 · @2.74
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
U.N.A.M. - Pumas42%fair 2.39 · @2.56
2.77Expected goals
1.27Puebla xG
1.49U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Puebla 1.3 – 1.5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Attack vs Liga MX average
-19%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.28
1.51
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win✓
42%
2.39
2.56 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Puebla +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U.N.A.M. - Pumas / FT U.N.A.M. - Pumas✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Puebla
No recent results on record.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla and U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What is the prediction for Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Puebla have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 42%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Puebla 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
