Tigres UANL vs Pachuca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pachuca travel to face Tigres UANL on Saturday 21 February in the Liga MX, with Estadio Universitario (UANL) the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Tigres UANL are 15th, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Pachuca are 8th (upper half) with 22.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigres UANL 1.4 xG, Pachuca 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres UANL 49%, draw 23%, Pachuca 28%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres UANL 1–1 Pachuca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigres UANL49%fair 2.04 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.40
Pachuca28%fair 3.55 · @5.50
2.75Expected goals
1.41Tigres UANL xG
1.34Pachuca xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.4 – 1.3 Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tigres UANL
Pachuca
Attack vs Liga MX average
-17%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.11
1.60
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL to win✗
49%
2.04
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Tigres UANL (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Pachuca +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
First team to score
Tigres UANL to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL / FT Tigres UANL✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
Tigres UANL – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pachuca – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Atlas
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres UANL and Pachuca.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pachuca 28%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 1–1 Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario (UANL).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
