Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultClub America to win ✓56% · @1.75
Double chanceClub America or draw ✓78% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Puebla vs Club America: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Liga MX brings Puebla against Club America at Estadio Cuauhtemoc. Kick-off: 04:06 WAT. In the table, Puebla are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Club America are 2nd (among the top four) with 30.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puebla 1.1 xG, Club America 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puebla 22%, draw 23%, Club America 56%.
Lower-risk option: Club America or draw (78%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puebla 1–1 Club America. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puebla22%fair 4.64 · @4.60
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
Club America56%fair 1.80 · @1.75
2.94Expected goals
1.11Puebla xG
1.83Club America xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Puebla 1.1 – 1.8 Club America expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Puebla
Club America
Attack vs Liga MX average
-19%
+42%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.34
2.05
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club America to win✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Double chance
Club America or draw✓
78%
1.27
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Club America (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Puebla +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.08
First team to score
Club America to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Club America ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club America / FT Club America✓
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Puebla – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Club America – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla and Club America.
What is the prediction for Puebla vs Club America?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Puebla vs Club America?
On our numbers Puebla have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Club America 56%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs Club America?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Club America?
Our predicted score is Puebla 1–1 Club America, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs Club America?
Puebla vs Club America (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
