Mazatlán vs Pachuca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 February the Liga MX brings Mazatlán against Pachuca at Estadio de Mazatlan. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mazatlán 1.2 xG, Pachuca 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mazatlán 29%, draw 25%, Pachuca 47%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mazatlán 1–1 Pachuca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mazatlán29%fair 3.50 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.30
Pachuca47%fair 2.13 · @2.10
2.88Expected goals
1.23Mazatlán xG
1.65Pachuca xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Mazatlán 1.2 – 1.7 Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mazatlán
Pachuca
Attack vs Liga MX average
+3%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.86
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca to win✗
47%
2.13
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Draw no bet
Pachuca (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Mazatlán +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Pachuca to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca / FT Pachuca✗
29%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Mazatlán – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pachuca – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Tigres UANL
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Atlas
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mazatlán and Pachuca.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
On our numbers Mazatlán have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pachuca 47%.
How many goals will there be in Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
Our predicted score is Mazatlán 1–1 Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
Mazatlán vs Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mazatlan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
