Value bet: Atlas to win @ 3.50 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtlas to win ✗38% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32
FC Juarez vs Atlas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlas travel to face FC Juarez on Saturday 28 February in the Liga MX, with Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT. In the table, FC Juarez are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 16 matches; Atlas are 5th (upper half) with 27. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Juarez 1.4 xG, Atlas 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Juarez 37%, draw 25%, Atlas 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Atlas to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Juarez 1–1 Atlas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Juarez37%fair 2.67 · @2.08
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
Atlas38%fair 2.65 · @3.50
2.98Expected goals
1.41FC Juarez xG
1.57Atlas xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: FC Juarez 1.4 – 1.6 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Juarez
Atlas
Attack vs Liga MX average
-25%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.81
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas to win✗
38%
2.65
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Atlas (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
FC Juarez +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.08
First team to score
Atlas to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas / FT Atlas✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
FC Juarez – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Necaxa
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atlas – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Atletico San Luis
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Pachuca
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Juarez and Atlas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win FC Juarez vs Atlas?
On our numbers FC Juarez have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlas 38%.
How many goals will there be in FC Juarez vs Atlas?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Juarez vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is FC Juarez 1–1 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Juarez vs Atlas?
FC Juarez vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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