Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtlas to win ✓41% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.70
Atlas vs Club Tijuana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Club Tijuana travel to face Atlas on Thursday 5 March in the Liga MX, with Estadio Jalisco the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT. In the table, Atlas are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Club Tijuana are 9th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Atlas, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Juarez, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Club Tijuana, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with U.N.A.M. - Pumas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlas 1.5 xG, Club Tijuana 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas 41%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 34%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Club Tijuana to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas 1–1 Club Tijuana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlas41%fair 2.42 · @2.08
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
Club Tijuana34%fair 2.93 · @3.40
2.95Expected goals
1.50Atlas xG
1.45Club Tijuana xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlas 1.5 – 1.5 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlas
Club Tijuana
Attack vs Liga MX average
+4%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.50
1.61
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas to win✓
41%
2.42
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Atlas (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Club Tijuana +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.11
First team to score
Atlas to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas / FT Atlas✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Atlas – last 3
LWL
28 Feb
@ FC Juarez
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Atletico San Luis
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Pachuca
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Club Tijuana – last 3
DDL
28 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Toluca
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas and Club Tijuana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atlas vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Atlas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Club Tijuana 34%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs Club Tijuana?
Atlas vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
