Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 March the Liga MX brings Necaxa against U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Estadio Victoria. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, Necaxa are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Necaxa, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pachuca, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Toluca, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours U.N.A.M. - Pumas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Necaxa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa 1.3 xG, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa 32%, draw 25%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 43%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Necaxa32%fair 3.11 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
U.N.A.M. - Pumas43%fair 2.32 · @2.26
2.85Expected goals
1.27Necaxa xG
1.58U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Necaxa 1.3 – 1.6 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Attack vs Liga MX average
-26%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.17
1.57
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win✓
43%
2.32
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Draw no bet
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Necaxa +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U.N.A.M. - Pumas / FT U.N.A.M. - Pumas✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Necaxa – last 4
LLLW
4 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Leon
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Toluca
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ FC Juarez
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 4
LDWW
4 Mar
vs Toluca
2–3
L
28 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Monterrey
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Puebla
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa and U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What is the prediction for Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 43%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Necaxa 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Necaxa vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán4
Leon2