Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 3.05 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultClub Tijuana to win ✗39% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Necaxa vs Club Tijuana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Club Tijuana travel to face Necaxa on Saturday 21 March in the Liga MX, with Estadio Victoria the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Necaxa are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Club Tijuana are 9th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Necaxa, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Puebla, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Club Tijuana, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Leon, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa 1.3 xG, Club Tijuana 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa 36%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Club Tijuana to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa 1–1 Club Tijuana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Necaxa36%fair 2.81 · @2.18
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.55
Club Tijuana39%fair 2.53 · @3.05
2.76Expected goals
1.26Necaxa xG
1.50Club Tijuana xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Necaxa 1.3 – 1.5 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
Attack vs Liga MX average
-26%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.06
1.51
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Tijuana to win✗
39%
2.53
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Club Tijuana (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Necaxa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
Club Tijuana to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Tijuana / FT Club Tijuana✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Necaxa – last 6
DLLLLW
14 Mar
@ Puebla
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Leon
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Toluca
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ FC Juarez
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Club Tijuana – last 6
WLLDDL
15 Mar
@ Leon
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Atlas
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Toluca
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa and Club Tijuana.
What is the prediction for Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Club Tijuana 39%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Necaxa 1–1 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
Necaxa vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán1