Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗58% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mazatlán welcome Cruz Azul to Estadio de Mazatlan for a Liga MX fixture on Saturday 21 March (04:06 WAT).
Current form
Mazatlán, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Club America, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Cruz Azul, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Monterrey, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Mazatlán.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mazatlán 1.3 xG, Cruz Azul 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mazatlán 21%, draw 21%, Cruz Azul 58%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mazatlán 1–2 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mazatlán21%fair 4.75 · @5.10
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.20
Cruz Azul58%fair 1.71 · @1.57
3.35Expected goals
1.29Mazatlán xG
2.06Cruz Azul xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Mazatlán 1.3 – 2.1 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mazatlán
Cruz Azul
Attack vs Liga MX average
+3%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.60
2.23
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✗
58%
1.71
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.60
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Mazatlán +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Mazatlán – last 6
LWLWDW
16 Mar
@ Club America
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Leon
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–4
L
28 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul – last 6
DDWWWW
18 Mar
vs Monterrey
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Atletico San Luis
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Monterrey
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mazatlán and Cruz Azul.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Mazatlán have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cruz Azul 58%.
How many goals will there be in Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Mazatlán 1–2 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul?
Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mazatlan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
