Atletico San Luis vs Leon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Liga MX brings Atletico San Luis against Leon at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Atletico San Luis, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pachuca, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Leon, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Guadalajara Chivas, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico San Luis 1.5 xG, Leon 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico San Luis 41%, draw 25%, Leon 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico San Luis 1–1 Leon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico San Luis41%fair 2.44 · @2.16
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
Leon34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
2.83Expected goals
1.45Atletico San Luis xG
1.37Leon xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.5 – 1.4 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico San Luis
Leon
Attack vs Liga MX average
-18%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.30
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico San Luis to win✗
41%
2.44
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Draw no bet
Atletico San Luis (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Leon +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
First team to score
Atletico San Luis to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico San Luis / FT Atletico San Luis✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Atletico San Luis – last 6
DLWLLW
15 Mar
vs Pachuca
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
0–3
L
4 Mar
vs Mazatlán
4–1
W
1 Mar
vs Puebla
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Atlas
2–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Queretaro
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leon – last 6
LLLWWL
19 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–5
L
15 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
0–3
L
7 Mar
@ Mazatlán
2–4
L
1 Mar
vs Necaxa
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Santos Laguna
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Monterrey
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and Leon.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Leon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Leon?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leon 34%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Leon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Leon?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Leon?
Atletico San Luis vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
